
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
The Arc of War: Origins, Escalation and Transformation. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2011. [with William R. Thompson]
Causes of War . Chichester, UK: Wiley-Blackwell, 2010. [with William R. Thompson]Systems, Stability, and Statecraft: Essays
on The International History of Modern
"Conscious Action and Intelligence Failure." Political Science Quarterly, 124, 3 (Fall 2009): 461-88. [with Uri Bar-Joseph]
“Debating British
Decisionmaking toward Nazi Germany in the 1930s.” International Security, 34, 1
(Summer 2009): [with Norrin M. Ripsman,
correspondence with Evan Resnick and Andrew Barros & Talbot Imlay]
“Counterfactuals and Case Studies.” In Janet Box-Steffensmeier, Henry Brady, and David Collier, eds., in Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology. New York: Oxford University Press, 2008. Pp. 627-44.
“Power Transition Theory and the Rise of China.” In Robert S. Ross and Zhu Feng, eds., China's Ascent: Power, Security, and the Future of International Politics. Ithaca, New York: Cornell University Press, 2008. Pp. 11-33. Also published in China by Shanghai People's Press, 2008.
“Deterrence
and Coercive Diplomacy: The Contributions of Alexander George.”
Political
Psychology, 29, 4 (August 2008): 537-52.
“Preventive
War and the
Bush Doctrine: Theoretical Logic and Historical Roots.” In
“Politically Motivated Opposition to War.” International Studies Review, 6 (2004): 65-83.[with William F. Mabe, Jr.]
"Trading with the Enemy during Wartime.” Security Studies, 13, 3 (Spring 2004): 1-47. [with Katherine Barbieri].
"What
Do Great Powers Balance Against and When?” In T.V. Paul,
James Wirtz, and
Michel Fortmann, eds., Balance of Power
Revisited: Theory and Practice in the 21st Century.
"Crisis
Mismanagement or Conflict of Interests? A Case Study of the Crimean War."
In Zeev Maoz et al, eds., Multiple Paths
to Knowledge in International Relations: Methodology in the Study of
Conflict
Management and Conflict Resolution.
"The Power Transition Research Program: A Lakatosian Analysis." In Colin Elman and Miriam Fendius Elman, eds., Progress in International Relations Theory: Appraising the Field. Cambridge: MIT Press, 2003. Pp. 109-57. [with Johnathan M. DiCicco]
"Political Psychology and Foreign Policy." In David O. Sears, Leonie Huddy, and Robert Jervis, eds., Oxford Handbook of Political Psychology. New York: Oxford University Press, 2003. Pp. 253-84.
"The Trade Disruption
Hypothesis and Liberal Economic Theory of Peace." In Gerald
Schneider, Katherine Barbieri, and Nils Petter Gleditsch, eds., Globalisation and Armed Conflict.
Lanham, MD: Rowman and Littlefield, 2003. Pp. 277-98. [with Katherine
Barbieri]
“Applications
of Prospect Theory to Political Science.” Synthese,
135, 2 (May 2003): 215-41.
"Economic Interdependence, Opportunity Costs, and Peace." In Edward D. Mansfield, and Brian Pollins, eds., Economic Interdependence and International Conflict: New Perspectives on an Enduring Debate. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2003. Pp. 127-47.
"Balances and Balancing: Concepts, Propositions and Research Design." In John A. Vasquez and Colin Elman, eds., Realism and the Balancing of Power: A New Debate. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice-Hall, 2003. Pp. 128-53.
"Qualitative Methods in International Relations." In Michael Brecher and Frank P. Harvey, eds., Millenial Reflections on International Studies. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2002. Pp. 432-54.
"War and Peace." In Walter Carlsnaes, Thomas Risse, and Beth A. Simmons, eds., Handbook of International Relations. London: Sage, 2002. Pp. 350-68.
"Daniel Kahneman: Judgment, Decision, and Rationality." PS: Political Science and Politics, 35, 2 (June 2002): 271-73.
"Demographic Change and the
Sources of Interstate Conflict." In Myron Weiner and Sharon Stanton
Russell, eds., Demography and
National Security. New York: Berghahn Books, 2001. Pp. 62-105
[with Ronald R. Krebs]
"Democracy
and Preventive War:
"Continuity and Change in the Evolution of War." In Zeev Maoz and Azar Gat, eds., War in a Changing World. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2001. Pp. 15-48. [with Thomas C. Walker and Martin S. Edwards]
"Explaining
Events and Testing Theories: History, Political Science, and the
Analysis of
International Relations." In Colin Elman and Miriam Fendius Elman,
eds., Bridges and
"The
Implications of Framing and Loss Aversion for International Conflict."
In
"Reflections
on the Scientific Study of War." In John A. Vasquez, ed., What Do We Know about War?
"Power Shifts and Problem Shifts: The Evolution of the Power Transition Research Program." Journal of Conflict Resolution 42, 4 (December 1999): 675-704. [with Jonathan M. DiCicco]
"Sleeping With the Enemy: The Impact of War on Trade." Journal of Peace Research, 36, 4 (July 1999): 463-79. [with Katherine Barbieri]
"The
Rise and Decline of the Anglo-Dutch Rivalry, 1609-1689." In William
R.
Thompson, ed., Great Power Rivalries.
"From
Commercial Competition to Strategic Rivalry to War: The Evolution of
the
Anglo-Dutch Rivalry, 1609-1652." In Paul F. Diehl, ed., The
Dynamics of Enduring Rivalries.
"Learning and Foreign Policy: Sweeping a Conceptual Minefield." International Organization, 48, 2 (Spring 1994): 279-312.
"Learning
from Experience in
"
"Diversionary
Action by Authoritarian Regimes:
"The
Role of Crisis Mismanagement in the Origins of World War I."
In
Alexander
L. George, ed., Avoiding War: Problems of
Crisis Management.
"Domestic
Sources of Alliances and Alignments: The Case of
"Mobilization and Inadvertence in the July Crisis." International Security, 16, 1 (Summer 1991): 189-194. [correspondence with Thomas J. Christensen and Marc Trachtenberg]
"Long
Cycles, Hegemonic Transitions, and the Long Peace." In
Charles W.
Kegley,
Jr. ed., The Long Postwar Peace.
"Preferences, Constraints, and Choices in July 1914." International Security, 15, 3 (Winter 1990-91): 151-186.
"Base
Stealers versus Power Hitters: A Nation-State Level Analysis of the
Frequency
and Seriousness of War." In Charles S. Gochman and Alan Ned
Sabrosky,
eds., Prisoners of War?
"Big Wars, Little Wars, and Theory Construction." International Interactions, 16, 3 (1990): 215-224.
"The
Causes of War: A Review of Theories and Evidence." In Philip
E.
Tetlock,
Jo L. Husbands, Robert Jervis, Paul C. Stern, and Charles Tilly, eds. Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War, vol.
I.
"The
Diversionary Theory of War: A Critique." In
"When Do Deterrent Threats Work?" British Journal of Political Science 18, 4 (October 1988): 485-512.
"Analytic Problems in the Identification of Wars." International Interactions, 14, 2 (1988): 181-186.
"Domestic Politics and War." Journal of Interdisciplinary History, 18, 4 (Spring 1988): 653-673.
"Organizational Routines and the Causes of War." International Studies Quarterly, 30, 2 (June 1986): 193-222.
"The War-Weariness Hypothesis: An Empirical Test." American Journal of Political Science, 30, 1 (February 1986): 26-49. [with T. Clifton Morgan]
"Theories of General War." World Politics, 37, 3 (April 1985): 344-374.
"The
Polarity of the System and International Stability: An Empirical
Analysis." In Alan Ned Sabrosky, ed., Polarity
and War: The Changing Structure of International Conflict.
"The
Causes of the Iran-Iraq War." In James Brown and William P.
Snyder,
eds., The Regionalization of War.
"The Frequency and Seriousness of War: An Inverse Relationship?" Journal of Conflict Resolution, 28, 4 (December 1984): 731-749. [with T. Clifton Morgan]
"The Offensive/Defensive Balance of Military Technology: A Theoretical and Historical Analysis." International Studies Quarterly, 28, 2 (June 1984): 219-238.
"Size and Stability in the Modern Great Power System." International Interactions, 10, 3-4 (1984): 341-58.
"Misperception and the Causes of War: Theoretical Linkages and Analytical Problems." World Politics, 36, 1 (October 1983): 76-99.
"Alliance Formation and War Behavior: An Analysis of the Great Powers, 1495-1975." The Journal of Conflict Resolution, 35, 4 (December 1981): 581-613.
